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Nebius Partners With Meta—AI Growth Could Send Stock to New Highs

Written by Thomas Hughes. Published 11/11/2025.

Nebius Group’s (NASDAQ: NBIS) stock rally is only half over — the company remains in the early stages of hypergrowth and the outlook is expanding. While Q3 results fell slightly short of an elevated consensus, Nebius grew at a high triple-digit pace and provided encouraging guidance.

Among the highlights is a new deal with Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META) to supply AI computing capacity.

The contract is worth $3 billion over the next five years — about $600 million in annualized revenue — which would be sufficient to double business relative to Q3 results. More deals are expected in coming quarters with similarly meaningful impacts on the outlook.

Nebius Group Missed Q3 Expectations, Losses Widen

Nebius delivered a solid Q3 despite missing analysts' high expectations. Net revenue of $146.1 million was up 355.1% year-over-year, and the company expects similarly strong growth in future quarters. Reported losses widened, reflecting infrastructure spending intended to support growth.

Adjusted EBITDA loss widened about 90%, while net loss increased roughly 175%. Those losses are counterbalanced by increased property and equipment, a healthy cash balance, and improving equity.

The balance sheet shows a cash-intensive year, with debt, current liabilities, and total liabilities up substantially year-to-date (YTD). That said, cash increased, current assets roughly doubled, and total assets tripled, offsetting much of the liability growth.

The net result: equity rose nearly 50% and is likely to continue improving in the quarters ahead.

Leverage remains modest, with long-term debt roughly equal to the combined value of equity and cash. The primary risk for investors is potential share issuance to raise capital, but Nebius did not appear to be in dire need of funding as of early November. The company’s $4.8 billion in cash should sustain operations for many quarters at the Q3 cash burn rate.

Analysts' Response Points to Double-Digit Upside

The initial analyst reaction to Nebius’ Q3 results has been favorable. Several firms have reiterated and, in some cases, raised ratings to Buy from Hold, implying double-digit upside. Although consensus estimates lagged recent market moves in November, trends point toward the $130 range — within easy reach of fresh all-time highs.

Coverage is expanding and sentiment is firming, providing a positive tailwind that is reflected in institutional activity.

Institutions own just over 20% of the shares, which is modest, but their activity has been solidly bullish. Net institutional activity over the past 12 months was roughly $4 bought for each $1 sold, indicating steady accumulation. If that trend continues — and Q3 results give no reason to expect otherwise — NBIS’s share price has significant upside potential.

Analysts expect the company to grow revenue by triple digits over the next three years, followed by high double-digit growth for the subsequent six to ten years. That trajectory would equate to nearly 11,000% growth over the period and an inflection to profitability by 2030.

Nebius Group Confirms Support Following Q3 Release and 2025 Update

After the Q3 release, price action was initially mixed, moving lower before quickly recovering and advancing nearly 5% in premarket trade. That recovery indicates buyers at a critical level, aligning with near-term support and increasing the potential for further upside.

Technical indicators, including MACD convergence, suggest the stock will at least retest all-time highs and could move to new highs before year-end.